How World Cup Group Play Is Shaking Out

How World Cup Group Play Is Shaking Out

Iran, who beat Morocco in their opening game before losing to Spain, are trying to reach the latter stages of the World Cup for the first time.

A win for Nigeria would see them qualify and even a draw would be good enough unless Iceland win by at least two clear goals.

What can be guessed is that Russian Federation and Uruguay will be on the theoretically easier side of the draw, although they will have to beat Spain or Portugal in the Round of 16 to get there unless Iran spring a surprise.

Mexico need only a draw against Sweden on Wednesday while a win would see them top the group with maximum points.

For that to happen, Spain and Portugal will have to win by the same scoreline in their final games with Portugal picking up one more yellow card than Fernando Hierro's side. A man is seen next to the FIFA World Cup logo at the stadium.

The victor of the group will face off against the runner-up of Group A, which will be either Russian Federation or Egypt, while the runner-up will face the victor of Group A.

To go through, Argentina need to beat Nigeria while hoping Iceland lose to or draw with Croatia. Even then, it is likely that Spain would have to lose heavily against their North African opponents This unlikely scenario has a chance of about 3% of actually happening so Spain have a 97% probability of appearing in the last 16.

Some teams are dependent on other results, along with their own, to advance. If both Sweden and Germany win it is possible for the Swedes to advance on goal difference.

Germany need to defeat South Korea and hope that their goal difference is better than Sweden and/or Mexico at the end.




A win would take Serbia through and a draw could be enough if Switzerland lose by two. Wins for Iceland and Argentina means tiebreakers. If Iceland and Argentina both win, to move to four points, they will be split by goal difference.

Advances with win or draw against Serbia.

Croatia will want to win the group to avoid France in the next round. A draw would also send them through, though winning the group would depend on Switzerland's result against Costa Rica.

Sweden can qualify with a win over Mexico and a Germany loss to South Korea.

They have finished top of their group in three of the last four World Cups, with the only exception their early exit in 2014.

England and Belgium are guaranteed to progress but their finishing positions will be decided by their meeting on Thursday.

Colombia will progress if they beat Senegal and a draw will suffice if Poland beat Japan.

The top two teams in the group will face either England or Belgium. Poland have been eliminated.

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